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The XRP Rebound Blueprint: Double Bottom Could Fuel A Run To $2.80 Resistance

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In a recent update on X, market analyst CRYPTOWZRD highlighted a developing double bottom formation on the XRPBTC chart, suggesting a possible bullish reversal may be underway. Although XRP ended the previous session with indecisive movements, this emerging pattern could drive its price action higher. Should the reversal confirm, XRP is likely to push toward the $2.80 resistance zone.ย 

Bitcoin Dominance Pressures Altcoins, XRP Included

Expanding on his initial analysis, the analyst noted that XRP and XRPBTC closed their daily candles indecisively, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty and a lack of strong directional action. While XRPBTC is currently holding above a key double bottom formation, the analyst emphasized that the pair still appears relatively weak and requires more stable and constructive price action to confirm a bullish breakout. A strong reaction from this level could serve as a catalyst, helping XRP gain momentum from its current position on the chart.

He also pointed out that Bitcoin dominance continues to exert pressure on altcoins, including XRP, causing them to underperform in their BTC pairs. As Bitcoin dominance approaches a major resistance level, the analyst anticipates a reversalย that could shift capital flow back into altcoins. Such a reversal would provide a favorable environment and support a broader bullish continuation for XRP.

XRP

Looking ahead, the analyst stated that his focus will remain on the lower time frames throughout the next trading session to determine the next scalp opportunity, particularly if XRPBTC begins to show signs of recovery and buyers step in with stronger momentum.

Waiting On Confirmation: No Entry Without A Clear Move

Concluding his analysis, the analyst provided his outlook for the near-term price action, noting that intraday trading was choppy and lacked clear direction throughout the session. Despite the indecisiveness, he predicts a potential upside continuation if the price breaks above the $2.4650 intraday resistance level.ย 

Conversely, he identified $2.3160 as a crucial intraday support level, where buyers may step in if the market pulls back. This zone will be important to watch, as a breakdown below it could delay any immediate bullish momentum and signal further consolidation. The price action between these two levels will likely define the short-term direction for XRP.

He emphasized that patience is key at this stage, urging traders to wait for a clear and healthy move before considering new entries. With market conditions still uncertain, the analyst plans to stay focused on refined setups and mature formations to ensure higher-probability trades in the sessions ahead.

XRP

KindlyMD, Nakamoto, and Anchorage Digital Form Strategic Bitcoin Treasury Alliance

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Bitcoin Magazine

KindlyMD, Nakamoto, and Anchorage Digital Form Strategic Bitcoin Treasury Alliance

Nakamoto Holdings Inc., KindlyMD, Inc., and Anchorage Digital today announced a strategic partnership that will see Anchorage become a trading partner for KindlyMDโ€™s Bitcoin treasury. The partnership will officially take effect upon the close of KindlyMDโ€™s merger with Nakamoto, expected in Q3 2025.

Anchorage Digital, a U.S. federally chartered digital asset bank, will provide institutional-grade custody, 24/7 trading, and deep liquidity to support the Bitcoin strategy of the combined entity.

โ€œIn the not-so-distant-future, the omission of Bitcoin on a balance sheet will be more glaring than its inclusion,โ€ said Nathan McCauley, CEO and Co-Founder of Anchorage Digital. โ€œUntil then, companies like Nakamoto-KindlyMD are pioneering a new path forwardโ€”one in which Bitcoin is at the heart of corporate strategy.โ€ย 

The merger between KindlyMD and Nakamoto is backed by approximately $710 million in financing, including $510 million in PIPE fundingโ€”the largest ever PIPE for a public crypto-related deal. The goal is to establish a Bitcoin-native corporate treasury strategy that redefines how capital markets engage with digital assets.

โ€œOur goal is to bring Bitcoin to the center of global capital markets within a compliant, transparent structure,โ€ said David Bailey, Founder and CEO of Nakamoto Holdings Inc. โ€œWe are excited to partner with Anchorage Digital to implement our vision with the highest levels of security and battle-tested infrastructure and enable us to deliver sustained value to shareholders.โ€

This announcement follows a key milestone on May 18, when KindlyMD shareholders approved the proposed merger with Nakamoto. The transaction is now expected to close in Q3 2025, pending SEC review and information statement distribution.

โ€œThis milestone brings us one step closer to unlocking Bitcoinโ€™s potential for KindlyMD shareholders,โ€ Bailey said yesterday. โ€œWe are grateful that KindlyMD shares our vision for a future in which Bitcoin is a core part of the corporate balance sheet.โ€

With its Bitcoin-first strategy and strategic alliances, the Nakamoto-KindlyMD partnership is set to accelerate institutional Bitcoin adoptionโ€”and with Anchorage Digitalโ€™s infrastructure behind it, the foundation is now firmly in place.

โ€œBy collaborating with Anchorage Digital, we are implementing our Bitcoin treasury strategy with the utmost standards in safety and security for our shareholders,โ€ stated Tim Pickett, CEO of KindlyMD. โ€œTheir institutional-grade platform allows us to confidently hold Bitcoin as a treasury asset as we look to unlock access to Bitcoin and drive value for the long term.โ€

Disclosure: Nakamoto is in partnership with Bitcoin Magazineโ€™s parent company BTC Inc to build the first global network of Bitcoin treasury companies, where BTC Inc provides certain marketing services to Nakamoto. More information on this can be found here.ย 

This post KindlyMD, Nakamoto, and Anchorage Digital Form Strategic Bitcoin Treasury Alliance first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

Not ECDSA. Not Schnorr. Meet DahLIAS.

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Bitcoin Magazine

Not ECDSA. Not Schnorr. Meet DahLIAS.

Aggregate signatures arenโ€™t new. Theyโ€™ve been around since the early 2000s. But building one that actually works in Bitcoinโ€™s security model, with Bitcoinโ€™s elliptic curve, has never been proven. Developers speculated it might be possible. They shared hand-wavy sketches and said, โ€œmaybe itโ€™d work like MuSig2, but across transaction inputs.โ€ The idea lingered for years as developer folklore, close, never provably confirmed.

That changed recently, when Jonas Nick and Tim Ruffing of Blockstream Research, together with Yannick Seurin of Ledger, published a paper that turned this cryptographic ghost story into a concrete, provable result. DahLIAS is the first formal, secure construction of a full constant-size aggregate signature (CISA) scheme that works on Bitcoinโ€™s native curve!ย 

But thatโ€™s a lot of words, so letโ€™s break that down:

  • Full aggregation: Multiple signatures across different inputs are combined into one โ€” and the result is a 64 byte signature whose size stays constant, no matter how many signers or inputs.ย 
  • Cross-input: Each signer can authorize different inputs, and all combine into one signature.

It adds no significant new assumptions beyond those already relied on by Bitcoin. DahLIAS builds a new cryptographic primitive using the same math Bitcoin already relies on, unlocking an entirely new kind of signature.

Letโ€™s Talk About Curves and Signatures

Digital signatures are how Bitcoin proves that a user has authorized a transaction. When you go to spend bitcoin, your wallet uses a private key to sign a message, and the network verifies that signature using the matching public key.

Bitcoin uses the secp256k1 curve. It is fast, efficient, and has been battle-tested over time. It supports signature schemes like ECDSA (Bitcoinโ€™s original signature algorithm) and Schnorr (added through Taproot in 2021), which are currently the only signature schemes permitted by Bitcoin consensus.

Traditionally, full signature aggregation relied on mathematical operations not supported by Bitcoinโ€™s curve, secp256k1, which made it seem out of reach. These features have typically relied on other types of elliptic curves. For example, BLS (Bonehโ€“Lynnโ€“Shacham) signatures use a special kind of curve called a pairing-friendly curve, which enables advanced operations like combining many signatures, even on different messages, into one.

The problem is that BLS signatures do not work on secp256k1. While Schnorr was a natural upgrade from ECDSA, since both rely on the same kind of elliptic curve, adding BLS would be a much bigger leap and a departure from Bitcoinโ€™s existing security model. Though technically possible, it would introduce new cryptographic assumptions and add significant complexity to the protocol. Supporting a curve that is pairing-friendly, like BLS12-381, would be a major change for Bitcoin.

This is part of why full signature aggregation has never been done on secp256k1.

Until now.

What Aggregate Signatures Actually Do

Most Bitcoin users are familiar with multisignatures. In a multisig wallet, multiple people jointly authorize the spending of a single UTXO or some specific โ€œcoinโ€. Everyone signs the same input data. This setup is useful for things like shared custody wallets.

Aggregate signatures work differently. Instead of multiple people signing the same input or coin, each signer authorizes a different UTXO in a transaction. These separate signatures are then compressed into one compact proof. With DahLIAS, that means a single 64-byte signature on Bitcoinโ€™s secp256k1 curve that verifies all inputs at once.

That means if you have five inputs from five different people, the transaction needs five different signatures. With an aggregate signature, all of those can be bundled into one. Even if each signer is spending a different input and signing a different part of the transaction, the result is one signature that proves the entire transaction was properly authorized.

Itโ€™s like zipping a whole list of approvals into one file. The signature is compact, but still verifiably proves that each signer authorized their specific UTXO.

Instead of verifying 10 separate signatures, you verify one.

This helps realign incentives for privacy. By reducing the signature overhead to a single 64-byte proof, DahLIAS lowers the cost of combining inputs in CoinJoins, making it financially smarter to choose privacy than to go without it.

Why Half-Aggregation Got Close

Shortly after Schnorr signatures were introduced on Bitcoin, developers explored half-aggregation, as a way to compress multiple signatures but they were not fixed size. Each input contributes to the size of the signature, so the transaction still grows with every participant. DahLIAS fixes this by enabling full-aggregation across inputs and signers. No matter how many people are involved or what theyโ€™re signing, all their signatures compress into one constant-size, 64-byte proof.

What DahLIAS Actually Unlocks

The main benefit here is that DahLIAS are reducing the size of complex transactions.

DahLIAS uses a two-round interactive signing process. Itโ€™s similar to MuSig2 in that regard, but it isnโ€™t a multisignature protocol because it doesnโ€™t require all participants to co-sign the same message. Instead, it aggregates different signatures on different messages across the transaction.

DahLIAS is also faster to verify than checking each signature individually, up to twice as fast in some cases. Lower verification costs make it easier for more people to run full nodes, which helps preserve Bitcoinโ€™s decentralization over time.

Importantly, DahLIAS comes with strong cryptographic guarantees. The scheme includes formal security proofs. Earlier โ€˜folkloreโ€™ approaches to full signature aggregation lacked this, and some were even later shown to be insecure. Fortunately they werenโ€™t adopted prematurely.

Itโ€™s worth repeating: DahLIAS is not a multisig protocol. It isnโ€™t comparable to MuSig2 or FROST from a functional standpoint, even if it shares similar cryptographic building blocks. It serves a different purpose. It offers a new way to encode many independent approvals into one clean, verifiable package.

Future Directions

You might think: if DahLIAS is so powerful, why isnโ€™t it a BIP? Why not propose it for Bitcoin consensus?

DahLIAS signatures donโ€™t look like Schnorr or ECDSA signatures. The verification algorithm is different. Instead of taking a single public key, message, and signature, a DahLIAS verifier takes lists of public keys and messages, and a single 64-byte proof.

This makes DahLIAS incompatible with Bitcoinโ€™s current consensus rules. Supporting it at the base layer would require a consensus change. This paper doesnโ€™t propose that change, but it does something equally important.

This paper shows that a full signature aggregation scheme for Bitcoinโ€™s native curve is possible.

That alone is a major step forward.

To make DahLIAS part of Bitcoin, someone would need to write a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP), maybe even using secp256k1lab. That means specifying the scheme in detail, considering its implications for consensus and implementation, and building community support. This paper lays the cryptographic foundation for that conversation.

The real value of the DahLIAS paper is what it proves. Full signature aggregation on secp256k1 is not just a thought experiment. Itโ€™s concrete. Itโ€™s efficient. Itโ€™s secure. For years, the idea lived in developer folklore. Now, itโ€™s written down, analyzed, and proven. All thatโ€™s left is to bring it to Bitcoinโ€”if we want it.

This is a guest post by Kiara Bickers. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

This post Not ECDSA. Not Schnorr. Meet DahLIAS. first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Kiara Bickers.

Bitcoin Top Indicator Says Itโ€™s Not Over Yet As Parabola Signals Fail

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Despite price pullbacks and recent market volatility, a crypto analyst has predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) may still have room for another parabolic rally. The analyst cited historically reliable top indicators that suggest that the market has not reached its top yet, even as parabolic signals fail to trigger a surge.ย 

No Sign Of A Bitcoin Cycle Top โ€” Yet

In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), market expert Crypto Con shared a comprehensive technical analysis rooted in the well-regarded top Bitcoin cycle indicators developed by DA_Prof. The accompanying chart revealed that Bitcoinโ€™s current market trajectory has yet to reach the โ€œcycle topโ€ zone โ€” a region that has consistently coincided with major market peaks in the past.ย 

Da Profโ€™s technical indicator model synthesizes insights from thirteen time-tested on-chain and market metrics. This multifactor approach has successfully predicted past cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021, making it a valuable tool in potentially identifying long-term market turning points.ย 

Bitcoin

According to Crypto Con, Bitcoinโ€™s current price action and technical readings suggest that the flagship cryptocurrency may still be preparing for a final ATH rally. The analyst asserts that any potential cycle peak in 2025 will likely emerge only when Bitcoin enters a critical zone identified through the convergence of these thirteen advanced indicators.ย 

The metrics utilized in Da Profโ€™s indicator model include:

  • Coin Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) Extension
  • Net Unrealized Profit-Loss (NUPL)
  • Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRVZ)
  • Calendar Seasonality (CSI: top near November 21)
  • Puell Multiple (PUELL)
  • Halving Seasonality (HSI: top near 538 days after halving event)
  • Logue PolyLog Regression (PLR)
  • Realized Price (RP) Extension
  • Plus Directional Movement (PDM)
  • Logarithmic MACD (LMACD)
  • Pi Cycle Top (PCT)
  • Transaction Fee Spike (TFS)
  • Risk

Crypto Con noted that historically, when these indicators converged in the red-hot region, represented by the cluster of indicators in the lower heatmap section of the chart, the Bitcoin price experienced a dramatic peak followed by a significant crash.ย 

However, in the current cycle, none of Da Profโ€™s metrics have entered the zone. Instead, the readings across the lower bands of the model remain comparatively muted, suggesting that market euphoria has not yet reached past-cycle extremes.ย 

Parabola Signals Flash Early, But No Peak In Sight

While Da Profโ€™s top Bitcoin indicators remain elusive, Parabola signals, another key feature of Crypto Conโ€™s analysis, have flashed not once but three times in this cycle. These signals are historically linked with the early stages of Bitcoinโ€™s explosive price rallies experienced during the previous bull markets.ย 

Yet despite these alerts, Bitcoin has failed to enter a true parabolic breakout phase so far in 2025. Crypto Con has indicated that the May 2025 parabola signal is especially notable, as it coincides with Bitcoin crossing the indicatorโ€™s Parabolic Boundary.ย 

This breach, paired with the absence of Da Profโ€™s indicator stack, creates an unusual setup. Emphasizing this anomaly, Crypto Con posed a rhetorical question: โ€œNo cycle top + parabola signal = ?โ€ โ€”- hinting that Bitcoinโ€™s true bullish climax may still be ahead.

Bitcoin

Bitcoiners Should Care About The GENIUS Act

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Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoiners Should Care About The GENIUS Act

While the GENIUS Act is a stablecoin bill, U.S.-based Bitcoin enthusiasts should be paying attention to the language in the bill as it pertains to the ability to transact privately with crypto assets โ€” including bitcoin.

Two documents that recently circulated among Senate Banking Committee Democrats indicate that Senate Democrats want to see amendments made to the GENIUS Act that would greatly reduce user privacy in crypto transactions.

Senate Democratsโ€™ Analysis of GENIUS Act

The first of these two documents is a two-pager entitled โ€œBanking Committee Democratic Staff Analysis on Latest GENIUS Act Draftโ€.

This document is filled with the type of rhetoric that is commonly associated with the Ranking Member of the Senate Banking Committee, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA).

It refers to stablecoins as tools for illicit finance (despite the fact that the largest stablecoin issuer, Tether, often works with the Department of Justice (DoJ) and the FBI to stop the illegal use of stablecoins).

It also states that the current iteration of the GENIUS Act โ€œdoes nothing to actually impose basic obligations on [crypto mixers] to prevent illicit finance.โ€

Crypto Mixers Illicit Finance
A segment from document featuring Democratsโ€™ analysis of The GENIUS Act.

This latter critique of the bill is antithetical to guidance that Deputy Attorney General (DAG) Todd Blanche offered in a memo on April 7, 2025. DAG Blanche stated that the DoJ will no longer target crypto mixing services for the acts of their end users.

In this document, however, Senate Democrats indicate that they plan to continue targeting crypto mixing technology instead of those who abuse it.

If amendments regarding the targeting of crypto mixers are added to a revised version of the GENIUS Act, this could have an impact on Bitcoin users who employ such technology in the name of preserving their privacy.

A Letter From Democrats Opposing The GENIUS Act

Senate Banking Democrats circulated a second document on Monday, as well.

This document, a letter signed by 46 advocacy groups, opposed the GENIUS Act.

Brendan Pedersen of Punchbowl News shared segments of the letter on X.

The authors of the letter claim that the GENIUS Act does not do enough to prevent illicit finance in part because it still allows for โ€œself-hosted wallets that lack know-your-customer (KYC) requirements.โ€

A segment from the letter opposing The GENIUS Act that touches on noncustodial wallets and KYC requirements.

If the GENIUS Act is amended so that it requires KYC for all wallets that touch stablecoins โ€” self-custodial wallets included โ€” itโ€™s likely only a matter of time before similar regulation is established for Bitcoin wallets.

Bitcoin Transactional Privacy Is At Stake

Just because the GENIUS Act doesnโ€™t directly reference Bitcoin doesnโ€™t mean that Bitcoin wonโ€™t be affected by it.

If Senate Democrats get their way and crypto mixers become a target of the bill and/or if the bill requires that all wallets that touch stablecoins require users to KYC, and the bill is enacted into law, anonymity in crypto transactions will become a crime.

So, while some Bitcoiners may be anti-stablecoins, most, I would wager, arenโ€™t anti-privacy. Therefore, it would behoove them to contact their elected officials to urge them to vote โ€œnoโ€ for the GENIUS Act if the upcoming iteration of the bill restricts the ability to transact privately.

This post Bitcoiners Should Care About The GENIUS Act first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Frank Corva.

Strive Asset Management Eyes $8B in Bitcoin from Mt. Gox Claims

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Strive Asset Management has announced an initiative to build a 75,000 Bitcoin (BTC) treasury by buying claims from the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt. Gox.

These claims, valued at about $8 billion at current market prices, have been legally approved but have yet to be distributed.

Mt. Goxโ€™s Bankruptcy Claims

In a May 20 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Strive announced it has entered a partnership with 117 Castell Advisory Group LLC. The deal is focused on identifying and evaluating distressed BTC claims, including those from the Mt. Gox estate.

The company said its strategy aims to buy BTC exposure at lower prices than the market, which could increase the assetโ€™s price per share. This would also support its long-term goal of performing better than the flagship cryptocurrency.

To move forward with the transaction, Strive intends to submit a full filing with the SEC outlining the terms of the proposal. Asset Entities (ASST), a social media marketing firm that will soon merge with the company, will then distribute a proxy statement and prospectus to stakeholders for approval.

Mt. Gox, once the largest Bitcoin exchange, handled about 70% of global BTC transactions before its collapse in 2014 due to several security breaches that led to the theft of approximately 750,000 BTC. This resulted in the platform filing for bankruptcy, which ended in a lengthy rehabilitation process to compensate creditors.

Since the Japan-based exchange is scheduled to complete repayments by October 31, Strive must secure shareholder approval before then.

Merger Details

Earlier this month, Strive announced its upcoming merger with Asset Entities. If approved, the deal would create the first publicly-traded asset management firm focused on BTC. The new entity will operate under the ASST brand with plans to adopt a Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Strive also said it will use tax-efficient methods to increase Bitcoin exposure per share. This includes giving investors the option to trade it for stock under Section 351 of the U.S. tax code to reduce tax costs. The firm plans to raise up to $1 billion through equity and debt offerings, which will be used to buy the digital asset in ways that reduce shareholder dilution.

The investment company aims to use reverse mergers, discounted purchases, and hedging strategies to support shareholder value. Matt Cole, CEO of Strive, will lead the combined enterprise.

The latest development comes as other firms continue expanding their Bitcoin reserves. Strategy recently disclosed a purchase of 7,390 BTC for $764.9 million, bringing its total to 576,230 BTC. Japan-based Metaplanet also added 1,004 BTC, increasing its holdings to 7,800 BTC.

The post Strive Asset Management Eyes $8B in Bitcoin from Mt. Gox Claims appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Analyst Predicts Massive Bitcoin Eruption Based on One Gold Chart, Sees Altcoin Market Following Suit

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A widely followed crypto strategist believes Bitcoin (BTC) is primed to ignite a massive explosion after breaking out from a bullish continuation pattern.

Pseudonymous analyst TechDev tells his 523,300 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin has broken out of a cup-and-handle pattern on the two-week chart.

The pattern typically indicates that an asset is ready to spark a new uptrend after a period of consolidation.

TechDev also points out that Bitcoinโ€™s cup-and-handle breakout looks very similar to goldโ€™s eruption over the past two years.

โ€œWhen cup-and-handles hit with precision.

Bitcoinโ€™s turnโ€ฆโ€ย 

Image
Source: TechDev/X

Looking at the traderโ€™s chart, he seems to predict that the pattern breakout will push BTC to as high as $300,000. Earlier this month, TechDev said that a surging global liquidity and capital reallocation would serve as tailwinds for BTCโ€™s ascent to new record levels.

โ€œGold goes parabolic > Liquidity breaks out > Flows to BTC + rotation from gold sends BTC parabolic

Not an original story.โ€

At time of writing, Bitcoin is trading for $106,709.

Turning to the altcoin market, the crypto analyst says heโ€™s keeping a close watch on the TOTAL 3 chart, which tracks the market cap of all digital assets excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum and stablecoins.

TechDev believes that altcoins are gearing up for a meteoric ascent after going through four years of price compression.

โ€œI donโ€™t think many comprehend whatโ€™s coming in the altcoin market.โ€

Image
Source: TechDev/X

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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The post Analyst Predicts Massive Bitcoin Eruption Based on One Gold Chart, Sees Altcoin Market Following Suit appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Incoming Capital Controls To Hurt Anyone Not Holding These Two Assets, According to Macro Analyst Luke Gromen

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Macro guru Luke Gromen says two soaring assets may be the key for investors to protect wealth in the event of government capital controls.

In a new video update on YouTube, Gromen, founder of investment firm Forest For The Trees (FFTT), says that the current trade war between the US and China is most likely unsustainable for the West unless capital controls are eventually implemented.

Says Gromen,

โ€œWhat is crystal clear to me โ€“ while I donโ€™t know how and where and when โ€“ but what is crystal clear is that you canโ€™t have a trade war with the worldโ€™s factory, China, and the worldโ€™s biggest creditor, China, who has significant capital controls, China, you canโ€™t have a very long trade war until you have to start putting in capital controls yourself, your opponents need to start putting in capital controls.ย 

It could start in Europe, thatโ€™s probably where it would, but America would have to do it, too. And I donโ€™t know if theyโ€™ll be explicit if we let it go that long, but it would be things like โ€˜hey, to maintain the tax-deferred status of your pension or your 401K or your IRA, etc., you now need to hold 30% of the assets in 30-year Treasuries, have a good dayโ€™.

Because if they donโ€™t do those kinds of things, the longer the trade war drags on, once shortages start to erupt, those with open capital accounts will be a source of funds for those with more closed capital accounts.โ€

The investor says that such a situation would require Western governments to enact capital controls, including restricting certain investments, taxing certain transactions, or blocking the flow of capital in and out of the country.

Gromen says holding Bitcoin (BTC) and gold may be an effective way to weather such an environment.

โ€œSo then thatโ€™s when youโ€™d have to see capital controls, and once one starts, theyโ€™re all going to have to do it relatively quickly.

What does this mean? My read of it isโ€ฆ Iโ€™d rather be years early owning decent little chunks of gold and Bitcoin than one day late. Because when youโ€™re one day late, too late.โ€

ย 

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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The post Incoming Capital Controls To Hurt Anyone Not Holding These Two Assets, According to Macro Analyst Luke Gromen appeared first on The Daily Hodl.

Bitcoin fails to hold onto new all-time high of $109,857 as Treasury yields surge

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Bitcoin hit a fresh record of $109,857 earlier on Wednesday before getting wrecked hours later, dropping almost instantly to $106,678 and wiping out most of the dayโ€™s gains. The drop came as Treasury yields ripped higher, sending stocks lower across the board.

Bitcoinโ€™s price had risen nearly 3% earlier in the day, only to reverse as bond traders responded to signs of bigger government spending in the US.

The cryptocurrency has been climbing all month, now up 13% in May alone. After drifting below $75,000 in April, it finally broke out this week thanks to what traders are calling a โ€œperfect mixโ€ of macro changes.

Antoni Trenchev, the co-founder of crypto exchange Nexo, said that โ€œBitcoinโ€™s new high has been concocted by an array of favorable ingredients in the macro cauldron, namely softer US inflation numbers, a de-escalation in the US-China trade war and the Moodyโ€™s downgrade of US sovereign debt, which has put the spotlight on alternative stores of value like bitcoin.โ€

But that mix went sour fast. As bond yields spiked, it flipped risk sentiment across markets, sending Bitcoin and stocks into the red. Antoni added:

โ€œWeโ€™ve entered an alternate universe very different from early April when global macro concerns were at their peak and bitcoin slumped to $74,000. Itโ€™s possible a three-month window has opened for risk assets to thrive as a broader agreement between the US and China is thrashed out.โ€

Yields jump, stocks sink, and crypto takes a hit

The sudden selloff came after investors reacted to new signs that the US budget bill is headed toward passage. As negotiations moved forward, traders saw no signs of fiscal discipline. The 30-year Treasury bond yield surged to 5.08%, its highest level since October 2023, while the 10-year yield jumped to 4.59%.

Stocks didnโ€™t escape the storm. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 732 points, down 1.7%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite lost 1.3% and 1.1%, respectively. That pressure spilled into crypto, sending Bitcoin lower and shaking confidence in the rally.

Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, said the fiscal outlook is whatโ€™s really moving yields. โ€œThe question now is, from a fiscal perspective, what will the tax bill look like, and will it undo all of the recent fiscal frugality by simply raising the debt level at a slower rate of pace? So I think thatโ€™s why the 10-year yield is moving higher โ€” because investors are worried that weโ€™re really not doing anything to slow the pace of inflation and to reduce the debt,โ€ he told CNBC.

He added, โ€œNow it seems as if there is a greater chance that the tax bill will pass, and that could end up simply continuing to raise the overall debt level.โ€

ETF inflows, stablecoin regulation, and corporate buying keep pressure balanced

While the day is ending in the red, the bigger picture isnโ€™t entirely bearish. Traders have been pouring money into Bitcoin ETFs, which have now pulled in over $40 billion, with only two days of outflows this month, according to SoSoValue.

The flows show that demand for exposure is still strong, even if the price is shaky in the short term. On-chain signals also point to strength. Data from CryptoQuant shows a drop in selling pressure, with fewer coins moving onto exchanges.

At the same time, a record amount of Tether (USDT) is sitting on trading platforms, signaling that buyers are waiting for the right moment to move. This level of liquidity hasnโ€™t been seen in months.

Corporate treasuries are still accumulating. Since January, companies holding Bitcoin have raised their holdings by 31%, now sitting on a combined total of around $349 billion, which is roughly 15% of the entire Bitcoin supply, based on figures from Bitcoin Treasuries.

On the regulation side, Congress is finally taking action. The Senate voted this week to advance legislation that would build a national framework for stablecoins, an area that has been left wide open for years.

President Donald Trump has said he wants to sign off on crypto regulation by August, just before the Congressional recess.

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Litecoin Eyes $117.50 As Price Rebounds From Key Support โ€“ Analyst

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Litecoin is holding steady at a critical level after a strong 69% surge in the past month, riding the wave of broader market momentum. As Bitcoin flirts with its all-time high, analysts are closely watching LTC for signs of a potential breakout or breakdown. The current price action shows consolidation near a crucial demand zone, which has historically served as a pivot for Litecoinโ€™s major moves.

While bullish sentiment is building across the crypto market, not all analysts are convinced. Some warn that if Bitcoin fails to break into price discovery and the broader market stalls, Litecoin could face renewed selling pressure. However, top analyst Carl Runefelt remains optimistic, sharing a technical view that suggests Litecoin is forming a bullish flag pattern on the chartโ€”a structure that often precedes strong upward continuation.

Runefeltโ€™s target points to a breakout above the current range, supported by healthy market structure and recent gains. Still, the coming days will determine whether LTC follows through with a rally or pulls back. For now, Litecoin stands at a technical crossroads, with both opportunity and risk on the table.

Litecoin Eyes Breakout As Market Awaits BTC Confirmation

Litecoin is currently trading at a pivotal level, caught in the middle of growing speculation about the marketโ€™s next major move. After a powerful 69% rally over the past month, LTC has entered a phase of consolidation, holding just above a crucial support level. The broader crypto market is in a similar position, with investors watching closely for a potential breakout in Bitcoin that could pull the rest of the market higher.

As Bitcoin hovers just below its all-time high, Litecoin traders are holding their breath. Many believe that a breakout above the $109K mark for BTC could serve as a catalyst for altcoins, especially LTC. But not everyone agreesโ€”some analysts expect the market to cool down first, leading to a deeper correction before any renewed upside.

Runefelt is firmly in the bullish camp. He recently shared a technical analysis highlighting a bullish flag pattern forming on Litecoinโ€™s chart. According to Runefelt, Litecoin has already bounced from support, and this setup presents a high-probability breakout scenario. His price target for the move is $117.5, which would mark a significant push higher from current levels.

Litecoin forming a bullish flag | Source: Carl Runefelt on X

Runefeltโ€™s view aligns with the broader bullish sentiment thatโ€™s slowly rebuilding across the market. However, the confirmation remains dependent on both Litecoinโ€™s ability to break above short-term resistance and Bitcoinโ€™s performance near its all-time high. For now, LTC investors remain cautiously optimistic, aware that momentum could shift quickly depending on macro market developments.

Technical Details: Key Levels To Watch

Litecoin (LTC) is currently trading at $95.35, showing resilience after a brief pullback from its recent local high near $106. The chart highlights a period of consolidation, with LTC finding support just above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $93.82 and slightly below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $100.76. These two moving averages are now acting as a technical pivot zone, creating both resistance and support that could define LTCโ€™s next move.

LTC testing critical support | Source: LTCUSDT chart on TradingView

After a strong rally from April lows around $66, Litecoin surged over 69% before facing resistance at the psychological $100 level. The price is now hovering in a tightening range, which could develop into a bullish continuation patternโ€”especially if broader market sentiment remains positive and Bitcoin pushes above its all-time high.

Volume has slightly decreased during the recent pullback, indicating a lack of strong selling pressure. This supports the bullish thesis that the current move is a healthy consolidation rather than the start of a reversal. A breakout above the $100.76 resistance would open the door toward the $117.50 target, as mentioned by analysts like Carl Runefelt.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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