{"id":49859,"date":"2026-08-22T14:30:31","date_gmt":"2026-08-22T14:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49859"},"modified":"2026-08-22T14:30:31","modified_gmt":"2026-08-22T14:30:31","slug":"galaxy-research-analysis-flags-bitcoin-50-week-ma-reclaim-as-bull-market-trigger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49859","title":{"rendered":"Galaxy Research Analysis Flags Bitcoin 50-Week MA Reclaim as Bull Market Trigger"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Fresh analysis of past Bitcoin (BTC) cycles is highlighting a key technical hurdle that could confirm the current bear market has ended.<\/p>\n

Galaxy Research says<\/a> Bitcoin now trades at $78,114, already over 32% above the June 30th low, while the 50-week moving average (MA) sits at $82,470, about 6.4% overhead.<\/p>\n

The firm tested every completed Bitcoin bear market since 2011 using a strict mechanical rule of at least 50% drawdown lasting 90 days or more.<\/p>\n

\u201c11 of 13 times BTCUSD reclaimed the 50w MA during completed bear markets, the bear-market low was in. It currently sits around $82k. If BTCUSD reclaims it on weekly close, history suggests the bear market would likely be over.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Only two of those 13 reclaims failed, both during the 2021-22 period before Bitcoin dropped to $15,758.<\/p>\n

In contrast, the faster 50-day moving average proved much noisier, with 43 of 106 reclaims failing and leading to new lows.<\/p>\n

\u201cA weekly reclaim of 50w MA could be strong confirmation that the current cycle low is in. Until then, the daily reclaim is encouraging but not conclusive.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

The analysis adds that even successful 50-week signals can experience whipsaws, yet Bitcoin never printed a new bear-market low after those events.<\/p>\n

\u2018The May 2019 reclaim gave way to crossings around the COVID crash, but BTC never made a new 2017\u201318 bear-market low.<\/em><\/p>\n

The May 2020 reclaim then held for 427 days.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Reclaiming the 50-week average on a weekly close could provide a strong historical confirmation that the bear market low is in.<\/p>\n

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The post Galaxy Research Analysis Flags Bitcoin 50-Week MA Reclaim as Bull Market Trigger<\/a> appeared first on The Daily Hodl<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fresh analysis of past Bitcoin (BTC) cycles is highlighting a key technical hurdle that could confirm the current bear market has ended. Galaxy Research says Bitcoin now trades at $78,114, already over 32% above the June 30th low, while the 50-week moving average (MA) sits at $82,470, about 6.4% overhead. The firm tested every completed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49860,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nGalaxy Research Analysis Flags Bitcoin 50-Week MA Reclaim as Bull Market Trigger - Cryptomag<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49859\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Galaxy Research Analysis Flags Bitcoin 50-Week MA Reclaim as Bull Market Trigger - Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Fresh analysis of past Bitcoin (BTC) cycles is highlighting a key technical hurdle that could confirm the current bear market has ended. 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