{"id":49716,"date":"2026-08-18T18:30:04","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T18:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49716"},"modified":"2026-08-18T18:30:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T18:30:04","slug":"bitcoins-wild-swings-go-quiet-even-as-the-bears-wont-let-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49716","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Magazine<\/a>
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\nBitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Bitcoin is deep into its bear market, though it\u2019s doing something it doesn\u2019t typically do: sit still.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That\u2019s according<\/a> to a new report by VanEck, which noted that thirty-day realized volatility has fallen to 27.2% annualized, down from 30.4% the prior month and less than half bitcoin\u2019s long-run average of roughly 80%.\u00a0<\/p>\n

For an asset known for double-digit daily swings, that\u2019s an unusually still market.<\/p>\n

The calm comes as bitcoin claws back from a June low near $58,500, holding inside a tight $62,265-to-$66,509 band through most of July.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n
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Bitcoin capitulation check https:\/\/t.co\/r7xrKXjiNR<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/nuSaTDQUTz<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) August 18, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n

Bitcoin remains about 9% below its 200-day moving average \u2014 a narrower gap than the 14% discount seen a month ago \u2014 and still sits roughly 49% below its all-time high.<\/p>\n

Trading activity tells a similar story of a market on pause. Spot volume over the trailing 30 days is down 27% from the prior month, landing in just the 10th percentile of its own history, VanEck noted.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Analysts at investment firm note the summer slowdown is deeper than in either 2024 or 2025, pushing spot volumes down toward levels last seen in the 2023 bear market.<\/p>\n

At the same time, longtime holders have started letting go of coins, VanEck said. Bitcoin held for more than a year fell by about 356,000 BTC (-2.9%) over the month, pushing the long-term holder share of total supply below 60% for the first time in months.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The selling was concentrated in coins held one to three years, while the oldest holders \u2014 those sitting on coins for more than a decade \u2014 barely moved, down just 0.1%.<\/p>\n

Coming into a period historically associated with bitcoin\u2019s four-year boom-and-bust cycle, VanEck\u2019s research points to 8 of 12 tracked capitulation signals currently flashing, consistent with the later stages of a drawdown.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Based on the length of prior cycles, the firm sees a bottom potentially forming anywhere between September and November of this year \u2014 though it cautions that the historical record of returns following similar signal clusters is mixed, and only shows a clear edge over a full one-year horizon.<\/p>\n

For now, bitcoin\u2019s story is less about direction and more about the unusual stillness of a market that, by its own history, rarely stays this quiet for long.<\/p>\n

This post Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go<\/a> first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine<\/a> and is written by Mathew Di Salvo<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin Magazine Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go Bitcoin is deep into its bear market, though it\u2019s doing something it doesn\u2019t typically do: sit still.\u00a0 That\u2019s according to a new report by VanEck, which noted that thirty-day realized volatility has fallen to 27.2% annualized, down from 30.4% the prior […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49717,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go - Cryptomag<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49716\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go - Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin Magazine Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go Bitcoin is deep into its bear market, though it\u2019s doing something it doesn\u2019t typically do: sit still.\u00a0 That\u2019s according to a new report by VanEck, which noted that thirty-day realized volatility has fallen to 27.2% annualized, down from 30.4% the prior […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=49716\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-18T18:30:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bitcoins-Wild-Swings-Go-Quiet-Even-as-the-Bears-Wont-Let-Go.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Crypto Magazine\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptomagz\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptomagz\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Crypto Magazine\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Crypto Magazine\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/f749cd846c4f13ef717c12a20ce9d040\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-08-18T18:30:04+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716\"},\"wordCount\":433,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/Bitcoins-Wild-Swings-Go-Quiet-Even-as-the-Bears-Wont-Let-Go-Vy9a7O.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Bitcoin\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptomag.finance\\\/?p=49716\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin\u2019s Wild Swings Go Quiet, Even as the Bears Won\u2019t Let Go - 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