{"id":44659,"date":"2026-05-26T04:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-26T04:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=44659"},"modified":"2026-05-26T04:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-26T04:00:12","slug":"when-bitcoin-gets-ignored-it-tends-to-rally-the-hardest-analyst-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=44659","title":{"rendered":"When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A closely watched on-chain indicator has returned to a range that has marked major turning points in Bitcoin\u2019s price history, and some analysts say the setup looks familiar. The Bitcoin Fund Flow Ratio on Binance has dropped to between 0.010 and 0.012 \u2014 a level reached only five other times since 2018, each preceding a significant recovery.<\/p>\n<p>The metric tracks how much <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> activity is happening on exchanges relative to the broader network. When the ratio falls, it means fewer coins are moving to exchanges, which typically signals weaker selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst MorenoDV, citing CryptoQuant data, described the current setup as a \u201cdecision zone.\u201d Bitcoin could stay weak if demand remains low, or selling exhaustion could quietly lay the groundwork for the next move up.<\/p>\n<h2>When Attention Fades, Bears Feel Safe<\/h2>\n<p>That idea runs through a broader argument being made by market commentators right now. <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/randgroup\/status\/2057739118143066204?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Rand Group<\/a>, posting on X, pointed to Bitcoin\u2019s Sell-Side Risk Ratio chart and argued that some of the asset\u2019s most explosive moves came right after periods when almost nobody was paying attention.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Every time \u201cno one cares about Bitcoin\u201d it bounces the hardest<\/p>\n<p>Are you paying attention or nah? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/r7iSTorbgV\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/r7iSTorbgV<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Rand Group (@randgroup) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/randgroup\/status\/2057739118143066204?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">May 22, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-897619\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a_ac3596.png?resize=943%2C870\" alt=\"\" width=\"943\" height=\"870\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Historical data backs that up. Reports indicate that similar low-interest phases lined up with Bitcoin trading near $3,000 in late 2018, around $9,000 in 2020, and close to $25,000 in 2023 \u2014 all of which turned out to be bottoms before sharp upward moves. Each time, selling pressure had dried up before buyers returned in force.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/VWvNmpXu\/\" width=\"1814\" height=\"921\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Macro analyst Brian Truong expanded on the pattern, saying that low attention combined with fading sell pressure has historically created the conditions for sudden reversals. Bears feel confident. Then the market moves against them.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Bitcoin\u2019s Fund Flow Ratio Returns to the Zone That\u2019s Marked Every Major Turn<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBitcoin is approaching a decision zone: either demand remains weak, and the compression reflects apathy, or sell-side exhaustion becomes the foundation for the next recovery phase.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MorenoDV_?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">@MorenoDV_<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mox08h9etV\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/mox08h9etV<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/2057872968089231816?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">May 22, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2>ETF Outflows Cloud The Picture<\/h2>\n<p>The bullish on-chain signals, though, are colliding with real short-term pressure. Bitcoin dropped 3.50% in 24 hours to $74,750, dragged down by institutional selling and heavy outflows from US spot <a href=\"https:\/\/etfdb.com\/themes\/bitcoin-etfs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Bitcoin ETFs<\/a> \u2014 roughly $1.4 billion pulled out over the past week alone.<\/p>\n<p>Rising yields are adding to the weight. The <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/DGS30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">30-year US Treasury yield<\/a> has climbed above 5%, making traditional fixed-income assets more attractive compared to non-yielding ones like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Still, some analysts believe the broader picture matters more right now than the day-to-day price action. Based on reports, the same combination of low exchange flow and reduced market noise has preceded every major recovery Bitcoin has staged over the past several years.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A closely watched on-chain indicator has returned to a range that has marked major turning points in Bitcoin\u2019s price history, and some analysts say the setup looks familiar. The Bitcoin Fund Flow Ratio on Binance has dropped to between 0.010 and 0.012 \u2014 a level reached only five other times since 2018, each preceding a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44660,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says - Cryptomag<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=44659\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says - Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A closely watched on-chain indicator has returned to a range that has marked major turning points in Bitcoin\u2019s price history, and some analysts say the setup looks familiar. 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