{"id":39583,"date":"2026-03-31T06:00:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T06:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39583"},"modified":"2026-03-31T06:00:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T06:00:08","slug":"bitcoin-absolute-bottom-next-analyst-says-btcs-final-shakeout-is-near","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39583","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u2018Absolute Bottom\u2019 Next? Analyst Says BTC\u2019s Final Shakeout Is Near"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As Bitcoin (BTC) retests a crucial level after breaking down of a bearish pattern, an analyst has suggested that the flagship crypto\u2019s final correction before the next bull market could start in the coming days.<\/p>\n<h2>Start Of \u2018Final Washout\u2019 Is Days Away<\/h2>\n<p>In a Monday analysis, market observer Ali Martinez <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2038534446987550825?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">affirmed<\/a> that Bitcoin\u2019s final leg down before the next bull run could be around the corner based on the flagship crypto\u2019s past cycle\u2019s behavior.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst explained that historically, the crossover between BTC\u2019s 50 and 200 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) has marked the \u201c\u2018absolute bottom\u2019 of every major cycle since 2014.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 12 years, whenever these two lines crossed on the three-day chart, it has consistently signaled the start of the \u201cfinal washout\u201d before the next bull <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-faces-familiar-crossroads-as-midterm-cycle-turns-bearish-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">market<\/a> begins. In 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin had already declined by 50%-72% from its cycle peaks when the 50- and 200-SMAs crossed.<\/p>\n<p>23-33 days after the crossover, the cryptocurrency continued its correction, retracing another 45%-52% before bottoming. In 2022, \u201canother lower low formed 156 days later, completing the bear structure and opening the door for the next bull market.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Now, Bitcoin has already seen a 52% <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-stalls-under-68800\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">correction<\/a> from its October 2025 peak, while the SMAs crossed over on February 27. \u201cAs of today, we are exactly 30 days into this signal,\u201d the analyst detailed, adding that \u201cIf history \u2018rhymes,\u2019 we are likely entering the Final Accumulation Window of this cycle within the next 3 to 6 days.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-large wp-image-889571\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/HEmhKKLaYAAGGmU.jpeg?w=688&amp;resize=688%2C860\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"688\" height=\"860\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Martinez noted that while the final leg down could be intimidating, history has shown that the crossover is the \u201cGolden Opportunity\u201d for long-term investors. Based on its 40%-50% \u201cresets,\u201d the analyst suggested two main accumulation zones: the $40,000 and $30,000 levels.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Structurally, this setup has historically aligned with the last major downside move before a generational macro bottom forms. (\u2026) The countdown to the next vertical move has begun.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2>Bitcoin Bear Flag Breakdown Confirmed?<\/h2>\n<p>After closing the week around the $66,000 mark, Bitcoin has surged to the $67,000-$68,000 area to retest a crucial level from below. The flagship crypto has been trading between $62,000-$74,000 for nearly two months, developing a bearish formation during this period.<\/p>\n<p>Notably, BTC has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-weekly-close-price-45-crash-coming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">formed<\/a> a bearish flag pattern on the daily timeframe, retesting the formation\u2019s lower and upper boundaries multiple times since early February. Following last week\u2019s correction, the cryptocurrency retraced over 10% from its recent highs to a four-week low of $65,000 on Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Amid this performance, Bitcoin lost the lower boundary of its bear flag formation, risking a second leg down toward lower levels. Analyst Crypto Jelle <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoJelleNL\/status\/2038617417425846541\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">noted<\/a> that the cryptocurrency is currently retesting the formation from below after today\u2019s bounce, which could confirm that the pattern\u2019s support has turned into resistance if BTC price is rejected.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, the market watcher pointed out that the cryptocurrency\u2019s bear market lows have historically formed below the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement levels, which could place BTC\u2019s bottom below the $57,000 area. \u201cIs this time different? Doubt it,\u201d Jelle <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoJelleNL\/status\/2038546750617571707\/photo\/1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">concluded<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large wp-image-889570\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/BTCUSDT_2026-03-30_09-40-47.png?w=860&amp;resize=860%2C580\" alt=\"Bitcoin, btc, btcusdt\" width=\"860\" height=\"580\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As Bitcoin (BTC) retests a crucial level after breaking down of a bearish pattern, an analyst has suggested that the flagship crypto\u2019s final correction before the next bull market could start in the coming days. Start Of \u2018Final Washout\u2019 Is Days Away In a Monday analysis, market observer Ali Martinez affirmed that Bitcoin\u2019s final leg [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39584,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-39583","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin \u2018Absolute Bottom\u2019 Next? 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