{"id":39327,"date":"2026-03-28T07:00:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-28T07:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39327"},"modified":"2026-03-28T07:00:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-28T07:00:19","slug":"3-reasons-xrp-rallies-stall-what-must-change-for-a-sustained-recovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39327","title":{"rendered":"3 Reasons XRP Rallies Stall \u2014 What Must Change For A Sustained Recovery"},"content":{"rendered":"

After failing to push past the critical short\u2011term resistance at $1.60 last week, XRP has slid about 8%, settling back into the $1.35\u2013$1.40 trading range. Market analyst Sam Daodu says three connected problems explain why recent rallies have fizzled and what must change for a sustainable recovery.<\/p>\n

XRP Faces Resistance Until Bitcoin Clears $75,000<\/h2>\n

First, Bitcoin (BTC) dominance remains high. Daodu notes <\/a>Bitcoin\u2019s share of the crypto market has hovered around 58.6% for much of 2026 and stayed above 58% most of the time. Historically, broad altcoin rallies tend to begin when Bitcoin dominance falls below 50% and capital rotates from BTC into smaller tokens.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That rotation has not occurred: institutions <\/a>are not reallocating to altcoins but either leaving crypto or keeping funds in Bitcoin as a perceived safe haven. Daodu argues that unless Bitcoin decisively breaks and holds above $75,000, even XRP\u2019s strong fundamentals are unlikely to move its price materially.<\/p>\n

Second, large holders have been steadily taking profits since XRP hit $3.65 in July 2025. Daodu estimates roughly $6 billion in XRP has been sold by whales since that peak, and substantial volumes continue to flow onto exchanges.<\/p>\n

The expert identified that many of these whales originally bought below $0.65, so they are willing to sell into rallies to lock in gains, asserting that selling pressure keeps rallies short\u2011 lived.<\/p>\n

Third, a large portion of holders sits underwater, which creates persistent resistance near the current price. Glassnode data cited by Daodu shows 60% of circulating XRP is held at a cost basis above today\u2019s levels; the average cost basis<\/a> across holders is approximately $1.44.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Because that average is nearly the center of XRP\u2019s recent trading band, holders who have been losing money sell when price approaches breakeven, using $1.45 as a take\u2011profit level.\u00a0<\/p>\n

ETFs Fail To Absorb Supply<\/h2>\n

Daodu adds that even if XRP clears $1.45, further layers of selling are likely: positions across the $1.40\u2013$3.65 range contain clusters of holders looking to return to breakeven or better, meaning upward moves tend to meet fresh supply.<\/p>\n

\"XRP\"<\/p>\n

Exchange\u2011traded funds<\/a> (ETFs) focused on XRP add another structural constraint. Total assets under management (AuM) fell from ITS January peak of $1.65 billion to about $1 billion as the token\u2019s price declined.\u00a0<\/p>\n

At the current inflow pace\u2014roughly $1.9 million per week\u2014ETFs would only add about $100 million by year\u2011end, a level Daodu argues is insufficient to meaningfully soak up supply.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Is Regulatory Clarity The Key?\u00a0<\/p>\n

Looking ahead, Daodu points to one potential catalyst that could change the dynamics: the long-awaited US crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act<\/a>, which has faced significant opposition in recent months due to key provisions that have prevented its passage.\u00a0<\/p>\n

If the bill becomes law and formally cements XRP\u2019s status as a commodity, Daodu argues, it would reduce regulatory uncertainty and could unlock broader institutional adoption.\u00a0<\/p>\n

That in turn might encourage banks to settle in XRP rather than relying on alternatives such as Ripple\u2019s RLUSD stablecoin<\/a>, creating the kind of demand pressure that could finally push the price out of its current range.<\/p>\n

In short, Daodu\u2019s view is that XRP needs multiple things to shift at once: a change in capital flows away from Bitcoin, less selling from large holders, and materially larger ETF inflows\u2014or a regulatory development that brings institutions on board.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Until several of those factors move together, the analyst says, XRP rallies are likely to remain short\u2011lived and the token stuck near its recent trading band.<\/p>\n

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After failing to push past the critical short\u2011term resistance at $1.60 last week, XRP has slid about 8%, settling back into the $1.35\u2013$1.40 trading range. Market analyst Sam Daodu says three connected problems explain why recent rallies have fizzled and what must change for a sustainable recovery. XRP Faces Resistance Until Bitcoin Clears $75,000 First, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39328,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-39327","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-xrp"},"yoast_head":"\n3 Reasons XRP Rallies Stall \u2014 What Must Change For A Sustained Recovery - Cryptomag<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39327\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"3 Reasons XRP Rallies Stall \u2014 What Must Change For A Sustained Recovery - Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"After failing to push past the critical short\u2011term resistance at $1.60 last week, XRP has slid about 8%, settling back into the $1.35\u2013$1.40 trading range. 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