{"id":39052,"date":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39052"},"modified":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T02:00:15","slug":"bitcoin-xrp-rallies-wont-hold-until-oil-falls-toward-80-expert-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=39052","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won\u2019t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brent crude<a href=\"https:\/\/oilprice.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"> slid nearly 12% on Monday <\/a>to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further \u2014 toward the $85\u2013$80 range \u2014 before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing Middle East conflict and crypto market direction, and until they ease, inflation fears and interest-rate concerns will continue to cap risk assets.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin, XRP Retrace Amid Oil\u2011Fueled Rate Risks<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-holds-at-69000-glassnode-data-shows-what-to-expect-through-late-march\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin <\/a>currently sits just above the psychologically important $70,000 level, while XRP is consolidating near $1.44. Both tokens have retraced modestly from last week\u2019s highs, with Bitcoin down roughly 4% and XRP off about 5% on the weekly chart after encountering resistance higher up.<\/p>\n<p>Those pullbacks, Daodu says, are tied to the same macro forces that have pushed oil above $100 on repeated escalation headlines since the Strait of Hormuz closures began in late February. Daodu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/money\/markets\/bitcoin-and-xrp-price-why-the-us-and-iran-war-keeps-overriding-every-crypto-rally\/ar-AA1ZfjXz?ocid=ue03dhp&amp;cvid=69c18670d2da4b7c8c61f3b730d849c6&amp;ei=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">emphasizes <\/a>that high oil prices sustain inflationary pressure and, crucially, keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) from easing policy.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Fed\u2019s message on March 19 has pushed out expectations for easier monetary policy. When rate-cut prospects fade, capital rotates away from risk-on assets, and crypto, which still behaves like a high-risk asset, tends to suffer.<\/p>\n<p>The expert also highlighted structural reasons <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/breaking-news-ticker\/clarity-act-heading-to-senate-vote-april-14-20-as-lawmakers-strike-stablecoin-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">crypto markets<\/a> have appeared particularly sensitive to geopolitical shocks. Because digital-asset markets are open around the clock, they absorb the initial wave of risk sentiment instantly, often before traditional markets open.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That 24\/7 liquidity profile can lead to sharper moves in Bitcoin and XRP price following weekend or overnight headlines, as selling is concentrated into thinner markets, as Daodu noted in his report.<\/p>\n<h2>Brent Near $80\u2013$85 Could Unlock Lasting Gains\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Despite these headwinds, Daodu notes there are constructive technical patterns beneath the surface. Bitcoin has formed<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/ai-model-ranks-bitcoin-xrp-and-eth-for-2026-expected-returns-and-price-targets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"> higher lows <\/a>on successive sell-offs since late February, suggesting buyers step in during each dip.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>XRP, on the other hand, has maintained a roughly $1.35\u2013$1.45 holding zone through recent escalations, reflecting resilience even as rallies fail to hold. <\/p>\n<p>Crucially, Daodu argues that oil is the variable most likely to break the current pattern of short-lived crypto rallies.\u00a0He noted that if Brent retreats toward $80\u2013$85 on signs of a ceasefire or diplomatic progress, inflation pressures should ease and the Fed could regain room to consider rate cuts.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Renewed expectations for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/btq-unveils-first-bitcoin-upgrade-testnet-designed-to-thwart-quantum-attacks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">easier policy <\/a>would likely return risk capital to crypto markets and give Bitcoin and XRP the momentum they need to sustain gains.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Conversely, if energy prices remain north of $100, every positive catalyst will be counterbalanced by the same inflation-and-rates dynamic that has dominated price action since February.<\/p>\n<p>Daodu also reminded that several bullish fundamentals that existed before the conflict have not disappeared: the SEC\u2019s movement toward treating Bitcoin as a commodity, inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and forward progress on the CLARITY Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Those catalysts are still in place but, in his view, are on hold until broader macro conditions \u2014 led by a decline in oil \u2014 allow risk assets to reassert themselves.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/Mf8b3M34\/\" alt=\"XRP\" width=\"1814\" height=\"981\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brent crude slid nearly 12% on Monday to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further \u2014 toward the $85\u2013$80 range \u2014 before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.\u00a0 According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39053,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,51],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-39052","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin","8":"category-xrp"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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