{"id":38066,"date":"2026-03-13T23:00:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T23:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=38066"},"modified":"2026-03-13T23:00:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T23:00:01","slug":"bitcoin-recovery-requires-sth-profitability-above-50-glassnode","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=38066","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Recovery Requires STH Profitability Above 50%: Glassnode"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how a flip in Bitcoin short-term holder profitability could act as a precondition for a sustained price recovery.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin STH Supply In Profit Is Currently Under 50%<\/h2>\n<p>In a new <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/glassnode\/status\/2032346101152370788\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">post<\/a> on X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-supply-in-profit-sets-the-stage-for-bullish-cross-in-q1-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Supply in Profit<\/a> metric for the Bitcoin<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-bounce-fails-short-term-holders-take-profit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"> short-term holders (STHs)<\/a>. The Supply in Profit measures, as its name suggests, the percentage of the BTC supply that\u2019s currently being held at some net unrealized gain.<\/p>\n<p>In the context of the current topic, only the above-water supply held by the BTC STHs is of relevance. This cohort includes all addresses that purchased their tokens within the past 155 days.\u00a0The STHs make up one of the two main divisions of the market, based on holding time, with the other side being known as the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-reclaims-97k-as-long-term-holders-supply-stays-locked\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">long-term holders (LTHs)<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them in the future. As such, the STHs with their relatively low holding time are considered to represent the weak-minded side of the market, while the LTHs include the diamond hands.<\/p>\n<p>As the chart below for the Supply in Profit of the STHs shows, the new entrants to the market were enjoying a high degree of profitability before Bitcoin experienced a bearish shift in Q4 2025:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/pbs.twimg.com\/media\/HDRXbKwXAAA5M0Q?format=jpg&amp;name=4096x4096\" alt=\"Bitcoin STH Supply In Profit\" width=\"3200\" height=\"1800\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The price decline has caused the indicator\u2019s value to plummet, meaning a chunk of the tokens held by the Bitcoin STHs have gone underwater. From the graph, it\u2019s apparent that the indicator dropped below the 50% mark a while ago and has continued to be in this low profitability zone since.<\/p>\n<p>In the past, this cohort being under stress has generally meant a lack of demand in the market. \u201cDemand-side risk appetite tends to remain suppressed until this flips back above 50%,\u201d noted Glassnode.<\/p>\n<p>In the chart, a few examples of the STH Supply in Profit flipping back above 50% are visible, with the latest one being the price rebound from the first half of 2025. Back then, a return of profits for the cohort led to a Bitcoin rally that set new price all-time highs (ATHs).<\/p>\n<p>Given this trend, it\u2019s possible that a flip in the metric above the 50% level could once again be of significance for the cryptocurrency. \u201cWatch this level as a precondition for any sustained recovery,\u201d explained the analytics firm.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Price<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin has been making a fresh attempt at the $72,000 level following its surge of 3% over the last 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/t6inRaRg\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin Price Chart\" width=\"1486\" height=\"957\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how a flip in Bitcoin short-term holder profitability could act as a precondition for a sustained price recovery. Bitcoin STH Supply In Profit Is Currently Under 50% In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Supply in Profit metric for the Bitcoin [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":38067,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-38066","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Recovery Requires STH Profitability Above 50%: Glassnode - Cryptomag<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptomag.finance\/?p=38066\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Recovery Requires STH Profitability Above 50%: Glassnode - Cryptomag\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how a flip in Bitcoin short-term holder profitability could act as a precondition for a sustained price recovery. 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